17 Sept · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1458
FormLWLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1616
FormLWWLW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+158
H2H23-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-7)