17 Sept · 09:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1482
FormWWLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Stapor
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1316
FormLWLLW
68%
32%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 68% (34)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H27-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-10)