17 Sept · 08:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1458
FormLWLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1614
FormWLWWL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+156
H2H16-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+156)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-12)