17 Sept · 08:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1568
FormLLWWW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Kuzmicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1800
FormWLWWW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+232
H2H35-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+232)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-25)