17 Sept · 08:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1622
FormWWLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Jadach
OS
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1413
FormLWLLL
72%
28%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 74% · 1.34· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+209
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+209)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)