17 Sept · 14:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1474
FormLWWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kosmal
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1586
FormLLLWL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)