17 Sept · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FK
🇵🇱Frantisek Krcil
ELO 1520
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kosmal
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1586
FormLLLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)