17 Sept · 22:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1665
FormLLWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Guzik
KG
🇵🇱Krystian Gudzik
ELO 1487
FormLWLLL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+178
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)