18 Sept · 00:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1371
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Rolak
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1292
FormLLLWL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Golaszewski🌟Rolak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Rolak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H43-58
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)