17 Sept · 23:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1386
FormWLWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Zelezik
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1592
FormLWWWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+206
H2H25-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-1)