17 Sept · 23:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1501
FormWWLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1765
FormLLWWW
24%
76%
🌟Michalik covers set handicap as underdog 63% (38)
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~74 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+264
H2H17-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+264)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-0)