17 Sept · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1765
FormLLWWW
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Molenda
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1381
FormLWLWW
85%
15%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~69 pts
3-0
42%
3-1
30%
3-2
13%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+384
H2H12-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+384)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-0)