17 Sept · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1472
FormWWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1553
FormWLWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+81
H2H26-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-3)