17 Sept · 22:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WJ
🇵🇱Waldemar Jozala
ELO 1326
FormLLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Koczyba
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1541
FormWWLWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+215
H2H28-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+215)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-0)