17 Sept · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PZ
🇵🇱Piotr Zemla
ELO 1595
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zemla
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1553
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Zemla
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)