18 Sept · 13:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gronowski
ELO 1367
FormLLLWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Czerwinski
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1556
FormWWWWW
30%
70%
🌟Gronowski covers set handicap as underdog 68% (28)
Fair odds · Czerwinski
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+189
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+189)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)