18 Sept · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1564
FormWWWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Wichowski
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1417
FormLLWLW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+147
H2H90-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (90-23)