18 Sept · 13:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1468
FormLWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1588
FormLWWLW
37%
63%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H14-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-12)