18 Sept · 13:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1631
FormWWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Jadach
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1466
FormWWWWL
67%
33%
🌟Paszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 74% (31)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)