18 Sept · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1571
FormWLWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Skotniczny
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1417
FormLLWLW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+154
H2H39-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-16)