18 Sept · 12:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1343
FormLLLLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1588
FormLWWLW
25%
75%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~77 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+245
H2H13-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+245)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-3)