18 Sept · 12:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1574
FormLWWLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Olejnik
MO
🇵🇱Martin Olejnik
ELO 1808
FormWLWWL
26%
74%
Fair odds · Olejnik
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+234
H2H9-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+234)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-0)