18 Sept · 12:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gronowski
ELO 1367
FormLLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Mleczko
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1468
FormLWLWL
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gronowski🌟Mleczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (24)
Fair odds · Mleczko
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H14-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-11)