18 Sept · 11:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1466
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Paszkiewicz
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1417
FormLLWLW
55%
45%
🌟Paszkiewicz stays under total as favourite 73% (22)
Fair odds · Paszkiewicz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)