18 Sept · 11:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1726
FormLLLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Sklensky
DK
🇵🇱Daniel Kostal
ELO 1564
FormLLLLL
67%
33%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kostal🌟Kostal covers set handicap as underdog 67% (27)
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)