18 Sept · 11:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1404
FormLWWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Skotniczny
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1571
FormWLWWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~79 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+167
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)