18 Sept · 11:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AD
🇵🇱Artur Daniel
ELO 1679
FormLWLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Olejnik
MO
🇵🇱Martin Olejnik
ELO 1808
FormWLWWL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Olejnik
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+129
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)