18 Sept · 11:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gronowski
ELO 1367
FormLLLWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1588
FormLWWLW
27%
73%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gronowski🌟Gronowski covers set handicap as underdog 68% (28)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+221
H2H20-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+221)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-16)