18 Sept · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1433
FormWWWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Polok
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1610
FormLWLLW
31%
69%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 62% (79)
Fair odds · Polok
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~80 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+177
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)