18 Sept · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1574
FormLWWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Sklensky
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1726
FormLLLWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H75-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (75-13)