18 Sept · 10:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1525
FormLWWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Adamus
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1409
FormLLLLW
63%
37%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 68% (31)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+116
H2H7-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)