18 Sept · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1631
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jadach
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1571
FormWLWWW
57%
43%
🌟Skotniczny covers set handicap as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H10-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)