18 Sept · 10:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1466
FormWWLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1588
FormLWWLW
37%
63%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+122
H2H15-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-6)