18 Sept · 14:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1468
FormLWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Czerwinski
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1556
FormWWWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Czerwinski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)