18 Sept · 17:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1381
FormLLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Skotniczny
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1598
FormWWWWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~78 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+217
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+217)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)