18 Sept · 16:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gronowski
ELO 1359
FormWLWLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1490
FormWLWLW
36%
64%
🌟Gronowski covers set handicap as underdog 68% (28)
Fair odds · Minda
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+131
H2H26-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-25)