18 Sept · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1529
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1595
FormWWLLW
43%
57%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H3-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)