18 Sept · 15:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1748
FormWWWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Sklensky
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1560
FormLWLLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+188
H2H76-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+188)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (76-13)