18 Sept · 15:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1490
FormWLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1595
FormWWLLW
39%
61%
🌟Minda goes over total as underdog 92% (12)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H57-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (57-48)