18 Sept · 15:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1609
FormLLLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Jadach
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1406
FormLLWLL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+203
H2H16-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+203)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-12)