18 Sept · 15:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AD
🇵🇱Artur Daniel
ELO 1668
FormLLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Daniel
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1560
FormLWLLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Daniel
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H41-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-39)