19 Sept · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1634
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Poliniewicz
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Stecyszyn
ELO 1561
FormLWLWW
58%
42%
🌟Poliniewicz goes over total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 34% · 2.98· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)