22 Sept · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1506
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Michalik
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1459
FormWLWWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 43% · 2.33· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H19-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)