22 Sept · 04:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1529
FormWWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1639
FormWLLLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H35-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-33)