22 Sept · 03:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1540
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Marud
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1459
FormWWLLL
59%
41%
🌟Marud stays under total as favourite 75% (16)
Fair odds · Marud
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+81
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)