22 Sept · 03:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1350
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1459
FormWLWWL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H55-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-4)