22 Sept · 03:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1459
FormWWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Sikon
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1354
FormLLWWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Sikon
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)