22 Sept · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1405
FormLLWWW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1639
FormWLLLW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~73 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+234
H2H69-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+234)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (69-13)