22 Sept · 02:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1529
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cyndera
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1506
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Michalik🌟Cyndera rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (28)
Fair odds · Cyndera
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 55% · 1.80· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H9-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.