22 Sept · 02:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1639
FormWLLLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Warzecha
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1350
FormLWLLL
78%
22%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~73 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+289
H2H58-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+289)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (58-10)